¡Buenos dias! "Wicked weird"
, "unrideable", and "definitely never really materialized" were just a few of the printable words used to describe yesterday's winds. While a midday pass by the Oceansat satellite measured solid 15-20 knot NW winds near Cerralvo yesterday, the wind gauge at both Rasta Beach and the campground showed a significant and persistent west component…too much for our thermal to overcome. The dreaded west component was also evident in the temperature yesterday, as downslope winds helped push the afternoon high to 87 F at the campground. The good news for today is that all of the latest model forecasts show the background flow over our area becoming more northerly by this afternoon, and with only a few, thin high clouds expected, we should see a significant thermal boost. The norte still looks to be on track for tomorrow, as models agree that a strong surface high over British Columbia will rapidly build southeastward into Idaho, with the surface pressure gradient over the Baja Peninsula tightening. At this point models show the norte peaking on Monday, but it should subside on Tuesday as the surface pressure gradient weakens and significant cloud cover begins to stream in from the southwest. Model forecasts are in good agreement that thick cloud cover and even some showers are likely on Wednesday, so our thermal will be a no-show. A couple of the long-range model forecasts now show clouds will begin to move off to the east on Thursday, and with just enough north background flow forecast to remain, we may see a rideable day. The majority of the long-range models show sufficient north flow continuing into Friday, and with mostly sunny skies expected, we should see a windy afternoon.
(Tides)- Today…Mostly sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Sunday…Sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Monday…Mostly sunny. North wind 22-26 mph.
- Tuesday…Mostly cloudy. North wind 16-18 mph.
- Wednesday…Cloudy with showers possible. Northeast wind 10-12 mph.
- Thursday…Partly sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.
- Friday…Mostly sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.