¡Buenos dias! An ASCAT pass last evening measured 20 to 25 knot winds over the southern Sea of Cortez, and all of this morning’s model runs show the norte will continue today. There may be some wind shadowing at the northern beaches, with holey, gusty conditions. The norte will likely continue for a third day on Thursday as strong surface high pressure centered over southern British Columbia this morning will build southeastward into the 4-corners region of the U.S. and reinforce the already tight surface pressure gradient over BCS. The norte should ease on Friday as the surface high to our north weakens, but ample north background flow will remain to give us another windy day. Global models continue to be in excellent agreement that surface low pressure will rapidly form over the southwestern U.S. Friday night into Saturday, and the north flow over BCS will collapse, with only light onshore breezes expected. Similar conditions will likely last through Sunday, then Pacific high pressure should begin to build back into the Baja Peninsula on Monday with north flow increasing. At this point it looks like sufficient north background flow and filtered sunshine will be enough to produce kiteable conditions again on Tuesday.
- Today…Mostly sunny. North wind 22-26 mph and gusty.
- Thursday…Sunny. North wind 22-26 mph.
- Friday…Sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Saturday…Sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
- Sunday…Mostly sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
- Monday…Mostly sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.
- Tuesday…Mostly sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.