¡Buenos dias! An Oceansat satellite pass around midnight measured 15-20 knot NNW winds over the Sea of Cortez just east of Cerralvo, and all of the most recent numerical model forecasts show strong NNW background flow increasing this morning and peaking by mid afternoon. The big question will be if our local thermal will be able to pull most of the west component out of the background flow this afternoon. The HRRR model which has the finest resolution shows some west component remaining over the northern half of the bay through the afternoon, so winds on northern beaches will likely be very gusty and wind shadowed at times. The strong surface high pressure system to our northwest will remain nearly stationary and only slowly weaken through Sunday, with winds gradually diminishing each day. Model forecasts are in good agreement that the surface pressure gradient will become very weak over BCS on Monday with only light winds expected here. Long-range models show the weak surface pressure gradient lasting through Wednesday, with light onshore breezes expected.
- Today…Sunny. North wind 22-26 mph and gusty, especially on northern beaches.
- Friday…Sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Saturday…Sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Sunday…Sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.
- Monday…Mostly sunny. Northeast wind 10-12 mph.
- Tuesday…Mostly sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
- Wednesday…Sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
Note…We will be selling tickets and t-shirts today for the upcoming Baja Beach Blues concert at the No Mas Basura recycling day, just west (upslope) of the farmers’ market. ALL profits go to benefit the great work of No Mas Basura!
