¡Buenos dias! An Oceansat satellite pass around midnight measured 5 to 10 knot NNW winds over the Sea of Cortez near Cerralvo, and the most recent model forecasts all show the background north flow will continue to decrease today, with only light onshore breezes expected this afternoon. Models indicate that surface high pressure will quickly build back into BCS on Sunday, with solid north flow returning. Sunny skies are also expected on Sunday, so we will see our local thermal in fine form as well. Monday will be much the same, with ample north background flow continuing and lots of sunshine triggering another good thermal boost. Tuesday will likely be a transition day, as the large-scale pattern begins a major shift and a very strong mid and upper-level system begins diving into the southwestern U.S. At this point it looks like there may be just enough north background flow lingering into Tuesday…and enough sunshine…to help trigger our wind machine one more time. There has been an encouraging shift in the latest model forecasts, as the strong mid and upper-level low that was previously forecast to cut off and stall over or just west of BCS into next weekend is now forecast to only linger in our area Wednesday and Thursday, then move off to the east on Friday. This will allow surface high pressure to again build into the Baja Peninsula on Friday with a return of solid north flow. While it is good news with regard to the wind, it looks like any substantial rain with this system will occur far to our east over the mainland.
- Today…Mostly sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
- Sunday…Sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Monday…Sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Tuesday…Mostly sunny. Northeast wind 16-18 mph.
- Wednesday…Partly sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
- Thursday…Partly sunny. West wind 8-10 mph.
- Friday…Mostly sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.