¡Buenos dias! Well…that was weird. The wind gauge at the campground showed winds climbed steadily through the morning and reached an early peak of 17 mph with gusts to 25 mph around noon, then the wind began a slow decline to around 14 mph at 1:30 pm…right about when the thermal should have been peaking. A late-morning satellite pass measured solid 15 knot NNW background flow around 10:30 am, and a satellite pass around midnight measured ample NW background flow of 10-15 knots just east of Cerralvo, so it’ll remain a mystery (at least to me). Model forecasts are in good agreement that the background flow today will fall to very near the lower limit that usually is needed to fully trigger our local wind machine. I’ll be optimistic since a couple of the more reliable models do show just enough to get at least a partial thermal response this afternoon. Very similar conditions are forecast for Saturday, so it’ll be another day to be ready just in case. Models are in good agreement that a ridge of high pressure will build over the Great Basin of the U.S. on Sunday and send a new surge of north flow into BCS. Surface high pressure is then forecast to remain in place near the 4-corners region of the U.S. on Monday, then slowly weaken Tuesday into Wednesday. For now, it looks like there will still be just enough north background flow on Tuesday and Wednesday to combine with abundant sunshine and continue the windy streak. At this point a couple of the long-range models indicate that Thursday will be marginal…stay tuned.
- Today…Sunny. North wind 14-16 mph.
- Saturday…Sunny. North wind 14-16 mph.
- Sunday…Sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Monday…Sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.
- Tuesday…Sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.
- Wednesday…Sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.
- Thursday…Sunny. North wind 14-16 mph.