¡Buenos dias! An Oceansat satellite pass around midnight measured NNW winds of 5-10 knots just east of Cerralvo, and all of the latest model forecasts show background flow near the lower threshold of what would normally activate our local wind machine. The biggest limiting factor today will be relatively thick cloud cover that will significantly dampen our thermal, so it looks like we'll see another afternoon of light winds. Solid north flow will return on Christmas Day, as model forecasts continue to be in excellent agreement that an elongated ridge of high pressure will extend from the northern Baja Peninsula northeastward into Arizona, and with mostly sunny skies expected, we should see a windy afternoon. The surface pressure gradient is forecast to tighten further on Friday, and with full sunshine expected our wind machine will be in fine form. Saturday looks to be another windy day as solid north background flow and sunny skies continue. Models are in good agreement that strong surface high pressure will then build into the Pacific northwest on Sunday and begin to tighten the surface pressure gradient over BCS, with low-end norte conditions developing here. Long-range models show the surface high will build southeastward into northern Utah on Monday with norte conditions likely continuing. Extended-range model forecasts then diverge significantly, but the ECMWF shows a disturbance from deep in the tropics to our southwest will move northeastward and bring thick cloud cover and perhaps even some rain to BCS on Tuesday into Wednesday…stay tuned.
(Tides)- Today…Partly sunny. North wind 10-12 mph.
- Christmas Day…Mostly sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Friday…Sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Saturday…Sunny. North wind 18-22 mph.
- Sunday…Mostly sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Monday…Mostly sunny. North wind 20-24 mph.
- Tuesday…Mostly cloudy with a few showers possible. North wind 16-18 mph.