¡Buenos dias! While the gauge at Rasta Beach yesterday measured sustained winds in the mid 20 mph range with a peak gust of 32 mph, the strong background north flow we have enjoyed recently has weakened and the forecast for today has become much murkier. A Haiyang satellite pass late last evening measured NW winds of 10 knots just east of Cerralvo, but the latest batch of model forecasts disagree on how much background north flow will remain this afternoon. A couple of the more reliabe models do show sufficient north flow remaining to bring us a rideable day, but the HRRR model indicates an easterly wind will form early and quickly overwhelm any north wind. Another negative factor is infrared satellite loops show increasing high clouds to our west and model forecasts show this cloud shield quickly moving in this morning and likely at least partially dampening our local thermal. With all of that in mind, odds favor a down day today, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a couple of hours of rideable wind early this afternoon, especially on northern beaches. The overall background flow is forecast to become more westerly tonight into Tuesday morning, with only light onshore breezes expected here during the afternoon. A light wind regime is then likely to persist through at least Friday, with long-range model forecasts showing some possiblity for a weak north pulse Saturday into Sunday.
- Today…Increasing high clouds. Northeast to east wind 10-12 mph….possibly higher on northern beaches.
- Tuesday…Mostly sunny. Northeast wind 10-12 mph.
- Wednesday…Partly sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
- Thursday…Partly sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
- Friday…Mostly sunny. East wind 8-10 mph.
Saturday…Mostly sunny. North wind 14-16 mph. - Sunday…Mostly sunny. North wind 14-16 mph.