¡Buenos dias! Again the wind gods shone on the southern beaches yesterday, as the gauge at the campground measured solid 16-19 mph winds from 1:30 until 5:30 pm while the gauge at Rasta Beach measured only 12-14 mph for much of the afternoon. A satellite pass around midnight measured NW winds of 5-10 knots near Cerralvo, and most of the latest model forecasts show another day of background flow that will be right on the edge. That said, since Thursday one of the models…the ECMWF…has shown a relatively tight N-S gradient of background flow, with lighter winds just east of the northern tip of Cerralvo, and significantly stronger background flow east of Bahia de los Muertos. Given the significantly lighter winds on northern beaches Thursday and Friday, this suggests that model is verifying well, so we could see similar conditions today. Models continue to show a ridge of high pressure building into the central Baja Peninsula on Sunday, with north flow increasing here. There will be some relatively thin, high clouds streaming in from the southwest on Sunday, but we should see enough filtered sunshine to at least partially trigger our local thermal. The forecast for Monday through Wednesday will depend on the position of the surface ridge, and for now it looks like we may get another good day on Monday, but as the ridge is nudged to the south closer to us, our flow will become more westerly Tuesday and Wednesday. Long-range models show the surface high retreating northward again on Thursday, with solid north background flow returning and possibly lasting through Friday.
- Today…Sunny. North wind 14-16 mph…stronger south beaches.
- Sunday…Mostly sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.
- Monday…Sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.
- Tuesday…Mostly sunny. Northwest wind 10-12 mph.
- Wednesday…Mostly sunny. Northwest wind 10-12 mph.
- Thursday…Mostly sunny. North wind 16-20 mph.
- Friday…Sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.