¡Buenos dias! An evening pass by one of the ASCAT polar-orbiting satellites measured light and variable winds near Cerralvo, and almost all of the latest model forecasts show light background NW flow today, so odds are that we’ll see marginal winds this afternoon. I will mention that one of the more reliable models, the ECMWF, does show a pulse of north flow later this afternoon, but it’s definitely the odd man out. Infrared satellite loops show some significant clearing to our west early this morning, and model forecasts show numerous thin patches in the high cloud cover today, so IF the ECMWF model verifies, we could see a bonus afternoon. My best advice for today is since for most of this week we’ll be scrounging for scraps, it’s best to be ready just in case the Europeans once again prevail. The remainder of the forecast through Wednesday looks to be on track, with Tuesday as the only day we will likely see rideable wind. Big differences begin to show in the long-range forecasts on Thursday, and once again the European model is the outlier…showing a surface low pressure system off the northern Baja Peninsula on Thursday moving excruciatingly slowly eastward and keeping our background flow light through next weekend. Other models are more optimistic that surface high pressure will begin to build into the Baja Peninsula on Friday, with solid north flow returning. Stay tuned.
- Today…Partly sunny. North wind 10-12 mph.
- Sunday…Cloudy. Light and variable wind.
- Monday…Mostly cloudy. Northeast wind 8-10 mph.
- Tuesday…Partly sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.
- Wednesday…Mostly cloudy. Light and variable wind.
- Thursday…Partly sunny. North wind 12-14 mph.
- Friday…Mostly sunny. North wind 16-18 mph.